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How Weather and Post Position Impact Horse Racing Results

Learn how rain, wind, and gate draw affect horse performance — and how to factor it into your betting strategy on MyWinners.

Rob Lawson avatar
Written by Rob Lawson
Updated over 3 months ago

When it comes to betting on horse racing, many bettors overlook two major game-changers: weather and post position. Whether it’s a sudden downpour or a tricky draw near the rail, these factors can derail a favourite or boost a longshot. At MyWinners, you can bet smarter by paying attention to the track conditions and gate placement before placing your wager.


How weather affects racing performance

Weather can transform how a race plays out — and fast.

  • Rain turns dirt tracks muddy and turf courses soft

  • Wind can impact early speed horses or stretch runners

  • Heat or cold may affect a horse’s stamina and comfort level

  • Changing conditions mid-card can flip track bias on its head

Certain horses thrive in slop (look for the "mud marks" in PPs), while others flounder. Always check the track condition before betting.


Why post position matters

The gate number your horse draws can determine race dynamics — especially in large fields or on short tracks.

  • Inside posts can save ground but risk getting boxed in

  • Outside posts can avoid traffic but may lose ground on turns

  • Middle posts are often ideal in balanced fields

  • On turf, wide draws can be a death sentence — or a tactical advantage depending on the jockey

Sprint races with tight turns make post position even more important. A talented horse with a poor draw may not overcome it — or could present great value at longer odds.


How to use this info on MyWinners

  • Racecards include track condition and gate draw

  • Compare today’s post position to the horse’s past success from similar gates

  • Watch for sharp trainer stats with off-track conditions or wide draws


💡 Did You Know? Some horses are so good in the slop that they’re nicknamed “mudlarks.” Bettors who notice their records when the skies open often cash in big.


Frequently Asked Questions

Can horses be scratched due to weather?

Yes. Trainers may withdraw a horse if track conditions aren’t suitable, especially on turf. Always check for late scratches before betting.

How does a sloppy track change race dynamics?

It often favours speed horses who can grab the lead and avoid kickback. Closers may struggle with footing or visibility.

Are some post positions cursed?

Not cursed — but statistically weaker. For example, the far outside post in a 6-furlong sprint at certain tracks can be a big disadvantage.

Should I avoid betting when the weather changes suddenly?

Not necessarily — it can create value. Most casual bettors don’t adjust for weather, which means odds might not reflect the shift.

Does MyWinners update track conditions in real time?

Yes. Track condition updates, scratches, and weather notes are displayed throughout the day so you can adjust your bets accordingly.

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